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Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, February 8, 2025, #496

Dane WigingtonGeoengineeringWatch.org"Deadly 'super fog' threatens Super Bowl Sunday in New Orleans" (MSN). "Historic Showdown at the Superdome: Will Super Fog Steal the Spotlight?" (SciTechDaily). "Thick Fog Smothers Deep South" (The Weather Channel). What's in the fog?

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, February 1, 2025, #495

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org "Pineapple Express to unleash a torrent of rain and snow on the western US" (AccuWeather). What happens when chemical ice nucleation cloud seeding operations are carried out over the "Pineapple Express"? How about

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, January 25, 2025, #494

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org "New Orleans has seen more snow than Alaska's biggest city so far this winter" (FOX Weather). The FOX report continues with this, "The Big Easy has also received more snowfall since the start of

Proposal To Ban Geoengineering In Shasta County, California, 90 Second Alert

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Dane Wigington of GeoengineeringWatch.org has just provided information on climate engineering to the Shasta County Board of Supervisors in order to assist them in moving forward with a legislative draft to ban such operations

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, January 18, 2025, #493

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org "Fire and floods: the rise of climate whiplash" (Financial Times). "L.A.’s ‘off the charts’ dryness keeps risk of new fires high. Rain is desperately needed" (LA Times). "Weather whiplash: "Winter storm systems to sweep across

The Dimming (Revised), Now On Rumble!

Dane WigingtonGeoengineeringWatch.orgDue to numerous requests to air The Dimming documentary on an independent platform from Youtube in the event that Youtube shuts us down, we are launching a slightly upgraded version of The Dimming on the

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, January 11, 2025, #492

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org "Los Angeles begins to face ‘apocalyptic’ devastation as wildfires continue to burn" (PBS). "It feels apocalyptic: Californians on the loss and devastation from LA wildfires" (Guardian). "Economic loss from L.A. wildfires could top $50 billion,

Winter Firepocalypse, 90 Second Alert

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Cloud patterns directly over the LA fire zone on January 7th and 8th, the days the fires started and accelerated. Your thoughts? Alarming satellite captures reveal frequency transmission impacts on aerosol cloud canopies over

Flash Freezing US, 90 Second Alert

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Icy winter storms and patented processes of chemical ice nucleation, what could go wrong? Climate engineering operations continue to create winter weather chaos in parts of the US, Canada, Europe and Asia. Chemical ice

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, January 4, 2025, #491

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org "62 million people under threat of major winter storm set to deliver season’s most significant blow yet" (CNN). "Dense fog advisory for Denver goes into effect Saturday, incoming storm system to drop snow

Engineered Droughts

Wildfires As A Weapon: US Military Exposed

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Is the military industrial complex insane enough to incinerate Earth's last remaining forests in order to achieve the objectives of the global controllers? The short answer is yes. A formerly classified US military

Drilling Under Lake Mead To Drain The Last Drop

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Many are now aware of and justifiably concerned about Lake Mead soon becoming what is known as a “dead pool”. When this milestone is reached, the ramifications for tens of millions of Americans

Domino Effect: Weather Warfare, Wasted Forests and Worldwide Collapse Of Ecosystems

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org The global controllers are utilizing every tool they have at their disposal to distract populations from the wider horizon of unfolding and accelerating global ecological collapse. The signs of environmental collapse can be

California Drought, How To Party On The Titanic

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Climate engineering operations are cutting off the flow of moisture to the US West, how much longer can Californians last without rain? Primary reservoirs are about to run dry,  Lake Shasta in Northern

Geoengineering: Fire And Ice

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Geoengineering is wreaking havoc all over the world, from fires to ice. After the passing of the recent engineered winter weather onslaught on Northern California, the climate engineers are yet again cutting off the

Geoengineering Creating Freeze Fry Extremes

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Global climate engineering operations are creating ever more extreme weather and temperature whiplash scenarios. The immense scale of climate forcing being carried out by the geoengineers is wreaking havoc on the biosphere. Over

Governor Newsom, Geoengineering And Unprecedented Wildfires

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Newly elected California governor Gavin Newsom has had to declare state of emergency due to the latest unprecedented firestorms. Will Newsom disclose the climate engineering factor that is fueling the firestorms? For the record, Governor Gavin Newsom was fully

Geoengineering Is Fueling Firestorm Catastrophes

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Yet again forests in the Western US are incinerating as the US east coast is anomalously wet and cool. All official sources are blaming the rapidly increasing extreme and deadly wildfire behavior on

Global Weather Modification Assault Causing Climate Chaos And Environmental Catastrophe

Dane Wigington geoengineeringwatch.org Global climate engineering encompasses many different aspects and processes. The consequences of the climate engineering insanity are already unquantifiable and growing by the day. Though each aspect of this subject is more than

NASA, And The Criminal Denial Of Climate Engineering

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org NASA is nothing more than a tool for the military industrial complex to carry out their nefarious agendas and to cover up their tracks. No matter how blatant and glaring the ongoing geoengineering atmospheric

Radio

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, February 8, 2025, #496

Dane WigingtonGeoengineeringWatch.org"Deadly 'super fog' threatens Super Bowl Sunday in New Orleans" (MSN). "Historic Showdown at the Superdome: Will Super Fog Steal the Spotlight?" (SciTechDaily). "Thick Fog Smothers Deep South" (The Weather Channel). What's in the fog?

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, February 1, 2025, #495

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org "Pineapple Express to unleash a torrent of rain and snow on the western US" (AccuWeather). What happens when chemical ice nucleation cloud seeding operations are carried out over the "Pineapple Express"? How about

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, January 25, 2025, #494

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org "New Orleans has seen more snow than Alaska's biggest city so far this winter" (FOX Weather). The FOX report continues with this, "The Big Easy has also received more snowfall since the start of

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, January 18, 2025, #493

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org "Fire and floods: the rise of climate whiplash" (Financial Times). "L.A.’s ‘off the charts’ dryness keeps risk of new fires high. Rain is desperately needed" (LA Times). "Weather whiplash: "Winter storm systems to sweep across

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, January 11, 2025, #492

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org "Los Angeles begins to face ‘apocalyptic’ devastation as wildfires continue to burn" (PBS). "It feels apocalyptic: Californians on the loss and devastation from LA wildfires" (Guardian). "Economic loss from L.A. wildfires could top $50 billion,

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, January 4, 2025, #491

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org "62 million people under threat of major winter storm set to deliver season’s most significant blow yet" (CNN). "Dense fog advisory for Denver goes into effect Saturday, incoming storm system to drop snow

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, December 28, 2024

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Under the cloak of climate mitigation operations, weather warfare continues to be waged on completely unaware populations. "Is it time to talk seriously about geoengineering?" (Politico). Headlines like this are intended to further

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, December 21, 2024, #489

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org "Brown snow falls over Maine town; officials warn against touching, eating it" (ABC News). "Atmospheric river brings weather whiplash to East Coast as bomb cyclone develops (AP News). "Wild temperature swings are coming the rest

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, December 14, 2024, #488

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org "Atmospheric river triple-threat bringing rounds of rain, mountain snow across West" (Fox News). "Record-breaking lake effect snow arrives as winter starts" (NOAA). "Why Is Lake Superior Full Of Icy Snowballs?" (The Weather Channel).

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, December 7, 2024, #487

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org "Winter Weather Warnings for 13 States" (from Newsweek). Are geoengineering operations a part of this equation? "No amount of research or small-scale testing can ever demonstrate what would happen if these dangerous technologies (geoengineering) were

Creating Storms

Flash Freezing US, 90 Second Alert

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Icy winter storms and patented processes of chemical ice nucleation, what could go wrong? Climate engineering operations continue to create winter weather chaos in parts of the US, Canada, Europe and Asia. Chemical ice

Engineering Winter Fog, 90 Second Alert

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Extreme and persistent winter fog, natural or manmade? The climate engineers have the power to chemically cool down surface temperatures when enough atmospheric moisture is available to them. The more heavily and extensively the

“Bomb Cyclone”, 90 Second Alert

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org "California’s rainy season begins with a bomb cyclone bang" (CNN). "Major storm drops record rain, downs trees in Northern California after devastation further north" (AP News). "California storm: Rare high-risk warning for excessive

Hurricane Helene And Frequency Transmissions, 90 Second Alert

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Was Hurricane Helene’s path and behavior just an act of nature? What do you think? Are networks of ground based frequency transmitters being utilized to manipulate and steer hurricanes? This video footage provides

Was Hurricane Debby’s Path Manipulated?

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Was Hurricane Debby's path manipulated? Are we actually expected to believe the official denial of climate engineering / hurricane modification operations when the historical record proves that the US government first deployed such

Manufacturing Winter Blizzard

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Chemically nucleated “snow” events are wreaking havoc on forests, ecosystems and human infrastructure. Chemical ice nucleation cloud seeding processes are a primary component of the ongoing and expanding global climate engineering operations. The numerous forms

The “Unprecedented” Scheduled Path Of Hurricane Idalia

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Did Hurricane Idalia follow a trajectory that was laid out by nature? Or is there much more to the equation of Idalia's path? The US military first initiated hurricane modification operations in 1947

Hurricane Hilary: Failure Or Mission Accomplished?

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Hurricane Hilary was highly sensationalized by mainstream media, what agendas might Hurricane Hilary have served for those in power? Could Hilary have been utilized to carry out objectives as far away as the Northeastern

Engineering Winter: The Untold Story Of Hurricane Nicole

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Was hurricane Nicole a random act of nature? Or is there much more to the story? What agendas and objectives might Hurricane Nicole have served for those in power? Can winter weather be

Controlling Hurricane Ian?

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Was the course and strength of Hurricane Ian just a random act of nature? Or is there much more to the story? The 3+ minute report below reveals critically important puzzle pieces. Please

Aircraft Spraying Videos

Engineering Winter: The Untold Story Of Hurricane Nicole

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Was hurricane Nicole a random act of nature? Or is there much more to the story? What agendas and objectives might Hurricane Nicole have served for those in power? Can winter weather be

Graphene Skies?

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org What aren’t we being told? Is the highly toxic and controversial element graphene being seeded into our skies as part of the ongoing covert climate intervention operations? Is climate modification the only motive behind the

Geoengineering Watch: Our First Ever High Altitude Atmospheric Testing

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org After substantial difficulty and expense, Geoengineering Watch has utilized two types of aircraft to complete multiple atmospheric particulate sampling flights up to and exceeding 40,000 feet. One of the aircraft we conducted our

Climate Engineering, New Film Footage Confirmation

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org The climate science community is increasingly calling for massive global climate engineering / solar radiation management operations to be immediately deployed to mitigate climate collapse. They tell us that if climate engineering atmospheric

Geoengineering Reality: Film Footage And Facts Prove Contrail Myth

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Sharing shocking and inarguable film footage of jet aerosol spraying is the most powerful tool of all for waking people up to the geoengineering crimes occurring above our heads each and every day.

Geoengineering, Weather Warfare, And The Contrail Deception

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Official sources, who’s job it is to deny the blatantly obvious climate engineering atrocities, have consistently claimed that the vapor trails seen behind WWll B-17 bombers are proof that we are only seeing “condensation trails”

NASA, And The Criminal Denial Of Climate Engineering

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org NASA is nothing more than a tool for the military industrial complex to carry out their nefarious agendas and to cover up their tracks. No matter how blatant and glaring the ongoing geoengineering atmospheric

High Bypass Turbofan Jet Engines, Geoengineering, And The Contrail Lie

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Refuting the "its just condensation trails" official lie is easily done if specific fundamental facts are understood and remembered. The short article and 7 minute video tutorial below provide essential information for debunking the

Blatant And Inarguable Geoengineering Jet Spraying Captured On Film

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org The past propensity of populations to deny the ongoing climate engineering atrocities is finally breaking down. Increasingly shocking and compelling film footage captures of jet aircraft aerosol dispersions are rapidly eroding the official

Hacking The Planet: The Climate Engineering Reality

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org In the mid 1940's global powers made the decision to intervene in Earth's climate and life support systems without the knowledge or consent of populations. The weather makers tell us their programs are

Activist Articles & Videos

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, June 19, 2021, #306

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org From the weather, to the behavior of societies, to unfolding controller agendas, all is rapidly becoming more extreme and all is connected. The gravity and immediacy of what is unfolding is still not

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, December 14, 2019, #227

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Ongoing investigations and document releases continue to expose the endless flow of lies and deception emanating from the US government. Endless political theater is still the theme of the day even as dire

All The Way – A Charles Bukowski Poem

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, September 22, 2018, #163

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org From all over the world the headlines continue to pour in, change is occurring at blinding speed. As our forests and wildlife disappear, instead of planting trees, so called “civilized” nations are building

Sowing Seeds

What are we to do as the walls close in on us? Is it not our duty of care to protect our children's future and this sacred planet?

Mirror, Mirror In The Sky

By Irene Parousis “We’re going to build a mirror factory first and put out nothing but mirrors for the next year and take a long look in them." - Fahrenheit 451 (1953) The revelation of the climate engineering nightmare couldn’t

Health

Graphene Rain, Scientist Sounds Alarm

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Graphene rain, are climate engineering operations the source? What aren't we being told? A highly credentialed scientist provides extensive analysis, this is a must watch report. All are needed in the critical battle to wake populations to

Nanoparticle Contamination Cover-Up: Answers From A Scientist

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org A must view report from a top scientist covering the climate engineering nanoparticle pollution of our air, water, soils and food supply. All are needed in the critical battle to wake populations to what is

Climate Engineering Contamination, Staying Healthy In A World That Isn’t

Dane Wigington geoengineeringwatch.org How does one retain some semblance of health while existing in a world that has become alarmingly toxic and incompatible to life as a whole? Though there are countless sources of contamination, the climate engineering

US EPA Scientist Fired For Trying To Tell The Truth About Climate Engineering And Fluoridated Water

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org The public has been trained and conditioned to believe that federal agencies like the EPA exist to watch over them and warn them of any potential dangers. This notion could not be further

World-Renowned Doctor Addresses Climate Engineering

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org How do we retain our health in an increasingly contaminated environment? Though there are countless forms of contamination from human activities, the climate engineering fallout is the most widespread and unavoidable of all.

The Great Nutrient Collapse

Source: Politico Irakli Loladze is a mathematician by training, but he was in a biology lab when he encountered the puzzle that would change his life. It was in 1998, and Loladze was studying for

Weather Warfare Assault, A Physician Speaks Out

The ongoing battle to expose and halt the climate engineering insanity (by reaching a critical mass of awareness on the issue) is now rapidly gaining traction. By sharing credible data with others and networking credible data on

Covering Up Climate Engineering Contamination, “EPA Caught Buying It’s Independent Science Advisors”

Dane Wigington geoengineeringwatch.org A lawsuit has been filed to expose the EPA for awarding $190 million in taxpayer grants to "independent" scientists in order to get the air quality test and research results desired by the

New Science Study Comes Closer To Disclosing The Catastrophic Health And Environmental Consequences Of Climate Engineering

Dane Wigington geoengineeringwatch.org The walls of the power structure are beginning to buckle, those that have served the power brokers are beginning to respond to their own instinct of self survival. The University of Michigan Department of

Health Magazine Covers Climate Engineering: “Heavy Metal Contamination And Mass Extinction – What’s The Connection?”

As the global climate system continues to unravel at an ever more rapid pace, the effort to sound the alarm is also gaining ground. Health Freedom News magazine has yet again shown the courage to face

Tree Die-off

Geoengineering Watch Global Alert News, April 15, 2023, #401

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org This week there were regions of the US that went from daily record high temperatures pushing 90 degrees or more to snow in the span of just over a day.The historically unprecedented Florida

Nanoparticle Contamination Cover-Up: Answers From A Scientist

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org A must view report from a top scientist covering the climate engineering nanoparticle pollution of our air, water, soils and food supply. All are needed in the critical battle to wake populations to what is

Wildfires As A Weapon: US Military Exposed

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Is the military industrial complex insane enough to incinerate Earth's last remaining forests in order to achieve the objectives of the global controllers? The short answer is yes. A formerly classified US military

Domino Effect: Weather Warfare, Wasted Forests and Worldwide Collapse Of Ecosystems

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org The global controllers are utilizing every tool they have at their disposal to distract populations from the wider horizon of unfolding and accelerating global ecological collapse. The signs of environmental collapse can be

Aftermath Of Chemical Ice Nucleation

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Chemically nucleated “snow” events are wreaking havoc on forests, ecosystems and human infrastructure. Chemical ice nucleation cloud seeding processes are a primary component of the ongoing and expanding global climate engineering operations. The

Chemically Nucleated Winter Weather

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org The extremely anomalous surface cool-down in Texas and other parts of the world are not just random acts of Nature. Global climate engineering operations are not just a proposal, they have been an ongoing reality for over 70 years. Erratic

Radio Frequency Dangers

Hurricane Helene And Frequency Transmissions, 90 Second Alert

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Was Hurricane Helene’s path and behavior just an act of nature? What do you think? Are networks of ground based frequency transmitters being utilized to manipulate and steer hurricanes? This video footage provides

Was Hurricane Debby’s Path Manipulated?

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Was Hurricane Debby's path manipulated? Are we actually expected to believe the official denial of climate engineering / hurricane modification operations when the historical record proves that the US government first deployed such

Climate Engineering, Microwave Transmissions, And The April Nor’easter

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Extremely powerful ground based microwave transmission facilities are being used in conjunction with the ongoing atmospheric aerosol spraying operations to completely manipulate Earth’s climate systems. The planet’s former weather equilibrium has long since

The Extreme Dangers Posed By “Smart Meters”

Weather Terrorists Control The Climate

Dane Wigington GeoengineeringWatch.org Climate engineering is nothing short of weather and biological warfare. Not only are our skies being constantly saturated with highly toxic climate engineering elements, extremely powerful and harmful radio frequency / microwave transmissions

Perspectives

All The Way – A Charles Bukowski Poem

CYMATICS: Science Vs. Music – Nigel Stanford

The Most Inspiring Speech: The Wisdom Of A Third Grade Dropout Will Change Your Life – Rick Rigsby

“I Should Have Done Something” – From The Conspiracy Project

We Are From The Future

My Christmas Duty To Warn Column: Questioning Christian Participation In Homicide By Remembering The Christmas Truce Of 1914

Duty To Warn Remembering the Christmas Truce of 1914: (And Questioning Christian Participation in Homicide) How Soldiers with Newly Attuned Consciences Almost Stopped a War By Gary G. Kohls, MD “…and the ones who call

Duty To Warn: Two Of The Culprits That Are Behind America’s Iatrogenic Over-Vaccination Monster

Duty To Warn The Culprits at the CDC and FDA That Helped Create America’s Iatrogenic Over-Vaccination Monster By Gary G. Kohls, MD December 4, 2017 Over the past several years I have spent many hours

Duty To Warn: Changing The “War No More” Sentiment Of Armistice Day To The War-Glorifying

Duty To Warn Changing the “War No More” Sentiment of Armistice Day to the War-Glorifying Propaganda of Veterans Day By Gary G. Kohls, MD 11-11-17 99 years ago, on 11-11-1918, at precisely 11 am Paris

Geoengineering, The Ultimate Weapon In The Toxic War On Humanity And Mother Earth. How To Protect Yourself In This Escalating Battle

Source: Juan Matus The irreversible awaking of humanity on the fact that we are under attack by the psychopaths in power is exponentially ongoing. More and more people are waking up, and are experiencing the

Geoengineering And The Most Dangerous False Dichotomy

By Penny Teal, PhD, contributing writer for geoengineeringwatch.org We all know despair.  We all know joy.  We all have been told to believe that these two states of mind are mutually exclusive.   This is a

These Jets are Spraying Aerosols

Government Document: “Weather as a Force Multiplier”

Social Profiles

The Thawing Arctic Threatens An Environmental Catastrophe

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Source: The Economist

Commercial opportunities are vastly outweighed by damage to the climate

“DUE to the global warming, please keep the Snowhotel door closed” reads a sign at the entrance to what appears to be a giant white mound near Kirkenes, close to Norway’s Arctic border with Russia. The owners want to preserve the frozen friezes of unicorns, reindeer and butterflies that adorn its walls. Patches of translucence in the ceilings of the hotel’s 25 icy rooms suggest the warmth outside is winning. Artificial snow helps build the structure anew each November and it usually disappears before May. The season has shortened in recent years, says one employee; the cold comes later than before.

The Snowhotel’s lengthening off-season is a small sign of an immense transformation in the Arctic, where the environment is changing more rapidly than in the rest of the world. Little can be done to keep its white wastes intact. A great thaw is inevitable as the climate responds to an accumulation of carbon emissions in the atmosphere. International efforts to limit global warming will at best slow the changes, perhaps making the consequences merely terrible rather than catastrophic.

“The Paris agreement will not save the Arctic as it is today,” says Lars-Otto Reiersen, executive secretary of the group behind the latest edition of “Snow, Water, Ice, Permafrost in the Arctic” (SWIPA), a report produced under the auspices of the Arctic Council, a scientific-policy club for the eight countries with territory in the Arctic Circle), as well as observers including China and India.

Atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide has now reached 400 parts per million (ppm), up from 280ppm three centuries ago; the Earth is on average 1ºC hotter than in pre-industrial times. Although 190-odd countries signed up to limit warming to “well below” 2ºC above pre-industrial temperatures in Paris in 2015, pledges for mitigating action are likely to see temperatures increase by around 3ºC—assuming countries stick to their promises. But different parts of the world warm at different rates. Even if the Paris agreement is implemented in full, the Arctic will warm by between 5ºC and 9ºC above the 1986-2005 average over the Arctic ocean in winter.

The thaw is happening far faster than once expected. Over the past three decades the area of sea ice in the Arctic has fallen by more than half and its volume has plummeted by three-quarters (see map). SWIPA estimates that the Arctic will be free of sea ice in the summer by 2040. Scientists previously suggested this would not occur until 2070. The thickness of ice in the central Arctic ocean declined by 65% between 1975 and 2012; record lows in the maximum extent of Arctic sea ice occurred in March.

The most worrying changes are happening in Greenland, which lost an average of 375bn tonnes of ice per year between 2011 and 2014—almost twice the rate at which it disappeared between 2003 and 2008 (see chart). This is the equivalent of over 400 massive icebergs measuring 1km on each side disappearing each year. The shrinkage is all the more perturbing because its dynamics are not well understood. Working out what is going on in, around and underneath a supposedly frigid ice sheet is crucial to understanding how it will respond to further warming and the implications of its demise for rising global sea levels (see article).

Cold, hard facts

The Arctic has been warming at twice the rate of the rest of the world for decades because of feedback loops that have reduced the albedo effect, a measure of the way Earth reflects heat. Unlike the rest of the planet the polar regions release more heat into space than they absorb, in effect cooling the planet, because sunlight is reflected by ice and snow. When it is replaced by water or dark ground, more heat is retained. That is precisely what is happening in the Arctic’s defrosting landscape.

At sea, much Arctic ice once lingered throughout one year and into the next. In 1985 about 45% of ice was older (and thus thicker) but by 2016 that amount had fallen by half. Huge expanses of ice now melt and refreeze over the year. Older ice tends to be jagged. When it melts, pools form between tough ridges, allowing some heat to reflect. Newly formed ice lets meltwater spread more evenly across its glassy surface. This reduces reflectivity still further.

As the land in the Arctic warms and once permanently frozen ground unfreezes, greenhouse gases are released. The dead plants and animals in Arctic permafrost hold about half the world’s carbon stored in soil. As this organic matter thaws it decays, releasing carbon dioxide and methane, another powerful greenhouse gas, and insulating the planet still further. Unfrozen tundra is also tinder for fires. Shorter snowy periods mean fire seasons will lengthen. In Alaska and parts of America’s West, the average length of the fire season has already jumped from 50 days in the 1970s to 125 now.

Changes in the environment are affecting the numbers and types of creatures that can live there, too. Arctic waters are increasingly full of life. The edge of the ice shelf is a feast for many species due to ice algae and phytoplankton that appear there at the end of winter. But decreasing ice may lead to mismatches between the timing of reproductive cycles in creatures such as shrimp and the availability of plankton. As water warms, larvae hatch earlier. Any impact on the populations of tiny crustaceans will affect other creatures higher up the food chain—cod, seals and polar bears—which need fat sources in their diet.

At the same time, new mouths are coming to feed. Zooplankton from southerly waters have moved north at a rate of 200km a decade as the ocean has warmed. Bigger fish have followed their dinner northward. This sounds like welcome news for hardy fishermen. But it is unclear whether the Arctic can sustain the new arrivals. They will compete with, and perhaps eat, specialised species dependent on the ice shelf’s edge for food.

Some experts also argue that fresh water from melting ice in the Barents Sea will curb the growth of the nutrients its inhabitants need. “It is all extremely uncertain, and depends on ocean-circulation patterns,” says Michaela Aschan, a fisheries professor from the University of Tromso.

Amid all this bad news about the state of the Arctic, the business opportunities associated with warming were supposed to cheer at least a few. The Arctic is an ocean covered in ice, ringed by land (whereas the Antarctic is a lump of land covered in ice, ringed by ocean). The eight Arctic countries have interests in shipping, fishing and drilling in the region. But finding profits amid the thaw is tough. Prospects look bleaker in many industries than they did five years ago as the risks are better understood.

The Arctic contains more than a fifth of the world’s untapped hydrocarbon resources. But in the North American Arctic offshore drilling was banned in December almost everywhere to protect ecosystems (although Donald Trump may reverse the moratorium). Elsewhere, low prices and the difficulties of operating in the Arctic’s dangerous waters now repel big firms attracted to the region back when oil fetched over $100 a barrel.

In a stunning about-turn, Shell ended operations in the Chukchi Sea in 2015 after spending $7bn on exploration there. It says it did not find enough oil to justify continuing. Russian firms, such as Rosneft, are proving hardier. They have fewer opportunities to invest elsewhere, after all, and Russia needs the money. Low oil prices have taken a toll on an economy which relies on the Arctic for a fifth of GDP and a fifth of exports.

The shipping industry is another for which Arctic promise has drifted away. In theory shipping firms should benefit from access to a more open seaway. Using it to sail from northern Europe to north-east Asia can cut the length of voyages by two-fifths compared with travelling via the Suez Canal. But an expected shipping boom has not materialised. In 2012 only 1m tonnes of goods were shipped through the northern passage, a paltry level of activity yet one not achieved since.

Even in the summer months the Arctic ocean is stormy, making timely delivery of goods impossible to guarantee. Drifting ice also poses a danger. Ships must be strengthened to withstand it, adding to construction costs. And a lack of coastal infrastructure, such as deepwater ports, means that spills of the heavy fuel oil that powers most vessels could wreak havoc on both ecosystems and reputations, because clean-up missions would have to set out from much farther away and would take much longer to be effective.

Breaking the ice

A new Polar Code from the International Maritime Organisation, which regulates shipping, came into force at the beginning of the year to try to address some of these concerns. It bans sewage discharges in polar waters and ones of oily mixtures. America and Canada, among others, want to go further. For one thing, they want a ban on heavy fuel-oil (as there is in the Antarctic, which has various special protections).

Mining firms, interested in metals such as copper, are eyeing up the Arctic. But most firms do not have the experience to negotiate with indigenous groups over projects on their land (about one in ten people in the region is from such a group). And many of the inhabitants oppose development anyway. In Norway the Sami parliament, which represents Sami people from across the country, is wary. Jon Petter Gintal, who deals with international affairs at the parliament, says blighting the landscape would be foolish. Tourists, keen to see rugged natural beauty, may sustain the Arctic economy in future decades as traditional livelihoods, such a reindeer herding, prove harder to maintain.

Even if outsiders’ commercial interest in the Arctic is cooling the region’s population of around 4m people has little choice but to adapt to the changing climate. Northern Norway is the most densely populated area but Russia, which accounts for half of the Arctic coastline and has a fleet of nuclear submarines based at Murmansk, is the country keenest to extend its influence. Russia eventually wants ten new search-and-rescue stations along its shoreline. Five are open already. Russia is also aiming to boost its military presence by reopening Soviet military bases.

Despite tensions over Russian belligerence elsewhere in the world, its aspirations in the north have so far given little cause for concern. Locals in Kirkenes laugh about their neighbours: “They come across here all the time to shop. They like the nappies, they say they are better quality,” explains one businessman. Oystein Bo, Norway’s defence minister, is more guarded: “Russia is as interested as we are at keeping the Arctic a region of stability,” he says. But if Russia decides to wield its power more forcefully this will only add to the problems in the Arctic.

Nothing, however, looms larger than the potential for environmental calamity. The question of thawing is rising up the list of priorities both of countries with territory in the region and those farther afield. Sticking to the Paris agreement could, eventually, stabilise temperatures. But more radical measures may be needed given that countries are unlikely to keep within the limits set in Paris.

A change in the weather

One possibility for cooling the pole is geoengineering, the deliberate modification of the climate to reduce warming. Pumping sulphate aerosols into the Arctic stratosphere from high-flying aircraft could be one way to blot out a bit of the sun. Such an approach would cool Arctic summers but have little effect in winter because there would be no sunlight to reflect. Injecting salt crystals into clouds over the Arctic ocean, to enhance their reflectivity, might also encourage some cooling, though the helpfulness of this type of intervention is highly speculative.

Either way the gap between theory and practice is enormous and ethically fraught. Even if such ways to cool the planet could be managed on the vast scale necessary, other unwelcome outcomes cannot be discounted. When volcanoes release vast amounts of aerosols and sulphates into the air, they damage the ozone layer—might the same be true for geoengineering? If polar ice returned thanks to judicious management of solar radiation, water and weather cycles in the tropics might be altered if sulphates were released in just one hemisphere. And the ocean’s chemistry would continue to change as concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere rise. If they ever happen at all, negotiations over large-scale geoengineering would be long and arduous.

Climate change has at least brought the Arctic fresh attention from world leaders. Xi Jinping, China’s president, stopped in nearby Anchorage on his recent return from America. Barack Obama became the first sitting American president to visit the Arctic. In May a ministerial meeting of the Arctic Council, at which America will hand over the chairmanship to Finland for its two-year stint, offers an opportunity for Rex Tillerson, America’s secretary of state, to set the new administration’s policy for the region. To ensure political and commercial stability in a defrosting Arctic, and to limit the harm caused by and to the warming pole, countries need to pay it far greater attention. The danger is that it is already too late.

Source: The Economist

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